2012 Euro Cup semifinals: Italy vs. Germany, Las Vegas odds and pick

The 2012 Euro Cup is as a result of the ultimate four teams, so when Italy and Germany square off Thursday afternoon are going to playing to manage the winner in the Spain vs. Portugal game which takes place later today.
Recent history between these two teams favors Italy, but Germany doesn't worry about earlier times, they are centered on the action taking place.
The German squad have never beaten Italy in a very competitive match.
"We can't turn back time, overlook about it, yesteryear doesn't play a role in your planning," said German Coach Joachim Loew. "Another stat is the fact that Germany hasn't website won against Italy in the major tournament, but what exactly?"
Las Vegas odds makers must feel it is time for Germany to win as they're the favorite at -135. The Over/Under number is 2.5.
This game will probably be a tough, hard fought match. My buddies are telling me that I am going the wrong method on this match, but here it is anyways!
Pick - Italy

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